The Kremlin ringleader Putin made this surprise announcement today. He declared that "in the past several months in the course of military operations, 479 militants were detained, and 313 terrorists were killed during the active fightings".
This statement, delivered from the mouth of Putin, who has been saying for the last 10 years that the war in the Caucasus ended, is very interesting, especially when it comes to the numbers of dead and captured Mujahideen.
Where to put in this Putin's mathematics Kadyrov's "50 militants running around the woods" and triumphant reports that the Caucasus has passed the "turning point" (for the thousand and first time), is not clear.
Be that, as it may, it is obvious that if the Mujahideen lose 800 active fighters in a few months ("a few" usually means 3 to 5 months), then their numbers in the forests and mountains of the Caucasus Emirate forces least invaders treat the Mujahideen as power to be reckoned with.
Putin actually disclosed a state secret of the Russian Federation. There are thousands of Mujahideen in the Caucasus Emirate. The war continues and there can't be, by definition, any talk about any Russian victory in it.
And if you add to the Putin's confession recent leaks-denials of participation of the Russian army in fightings against the Mujahideen, the picture is disturbing. In spite of the lies (as the army was actually never excluded from participation in military operations), it turns out that after 13 years of huge costs, both human and material, Russia has not come closer to its goal even in a single step.
Moreover, if 13 years ago the war was limited to the territory of Chechnya, now it spread far beyond its borders, covering most of the territory of the North Caucasus, and Chechnya has become just one of the frontiers of the Caucasian Jihad.
Almost all analysts and experts, both in the West and in Russia, clearly recognize today that the proclamation of the Caucasus Emirate in 2007 was a complete surprise for Moscow, to which it was not ready. Russia has so far not been able to articulate an answer to the declaration of Caucasus Emirate.
The strategy of the war has definitely changed, and it is now free from the grip of ethnic anachronism, the Mujahideen changed the very essence of the conflict, forcing the enemy to act in an alien to it manner in the military-political and ideological field.
All attempts to counter the ideology of jihad and a single Islamic state in moldy stashes of the KGB with sectarian Sufism under the false guise of "traditional Islam, in an age of universal information globalizationwere totally ineffective and disastrous.
Feeding people with delusional Sufi tales is no longer possible. Even "the academician" Kadyrov understood it (or he was given a tip). He recently convened a commission for "unification of Sufi tarikats" in Chechnya. The ringleader of apostates ordered to remove from the many of Sufi tales most idiotic and absurd myths, as they are cannot be completely perceived by anyone with a right mind and clear sanity.
In addition, for every neutral observer it is clear that the events in the Caucasus cannot be viewed outside the context of the global Islamic revival. Like it or not, but the fact remains as it is - the Caucasus Emirate is an integral part of the Islamic Ummah, in which we are witnessing tectonic shifts all over the world. Ignoring this fact would mean at least ignorance.
Obviously, Moscow is gradually coming to the realization of this fact. That is why today the Russian propaganda has significantly reduced the intensity of the accusations of Caucasian Mujahideen of tools of "international terrorism", emphasizing that "Islam brought from outside is contrary to the traditions and customs of the Caucasian peoples".
Moreover, Moscow is not happy with the obvious fact of participation of the residents of North Caucasus in hostilities, such as in Syria. On the contrary, he Kremlin and its puppet regimes in the field, strongly protest today against the "Caucasian (Chechen) presence" in hostilities in the Middle East.
Numerous pro-Kremlin political scientists and analysts foaming at the mouth are proving that the "Caucasian terrorism" is a purely home-grown problem that has nothing to do with "international terrorism".
Simultaneously, old Soviet ideological cliches (they could not even invent any new ones) are taken into service. If the main culprit for all the troubles in the Caucasus was yesterday Al-Qaeda, today it is the US and its allies which want to "break up Russia" with the hands of Chechen and other "militants", including "international terrorists" who are supposedly fed and supplied by the West to its own advantage.
Department of Monitoring
Kavkaz Center
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