On the photo: Kazan. Police were surprised to see a convoy with Islamic flags passing the city center
Iana Amelina, sector manager for Caucasus Studies of the Russian Institute of Strategic Studies, gave an interview in which she spoke about the Jihad in Russia.
In the interview on the subject, "War came from Caucasus to center of Russia", she noted in particular:
- "It does not matter at all whether Mingaleyev (the Emir of Tatar Mujahideen - KC) is alive or not. It is not so important: for a long time there was not a sight of him, and just recently, he appeared. If not him - there will be someone else to lead this Jamaat... in fact, he had taken the leadership of it already.
All the latest events show: all what experts have long warned - an armed underground force in Tatarstan is already a reality, they are real people, armed with real guns, and they kill the security forces.
Thus, the situation in Tatarstan is clearly developing according to Dagestan scenario, up to special operations in the five-storey buildings.
And this is just the beginning, there is no reason to think that this situation will resolve itself somehow.
Situation will continue to move in the same direction in which it was developed in the North Caucasus. Simply, there is a certain logic of the situation, and it is clear that in no other way to develop it.
We may assume that the underground has support among some of the local authorities. In light of that logic, this version of events cannot be discounted, it has a right to exist.
Imposing a counter-terrorist regime in center of Kazan eloquently suggests that the situation with the underground went too far, and it is not a joke. The situation in Kazan is critical and unequivocally not in favor of the local authorities".
Department of Monitoring
Kavkaz Center
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